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Main Page –› Banking & Finance –› Shares & Stocks
 

Reverse Profit

 
Author: Al Thomas

How can anything reverse be a profit? I go to the Money Show every year to visit with friends who have booths and are speakers. Then when folks are filing out of lectures I listen to their comments about what I know the speaker has been saying.

The Money Show is for investors from all walks of life; however, my guess is the median age is close to 60. Those who go have accumulated a nest egg and now are retired or very close to retirement. They came to learn more about how to make their money grow.

Last year there were 256 separate events not counting what was given in the Exhibition Hall. Almost without exception speakers were showing how cash can accumulate faster if the listener bought his product whether it was a mutual fund, stock, bond, partnership, software or who knows what. Are there that many money makers out there?

One speaker had an hour telling the market was due to crash and the thing to do was buy long term put option. He also said if you would not do that to buy some government bonds which were paying about 2 to 3%. The exit comments I heard were pretty well summed up by one lady who said, Is he nuts. How can we live off 2%? When in a bear market the old saying is, He who loses the least is a winner. No, its difficult to live on that small a return, but dont lose large sums by trying to be invested at all times. There have been many years in the past where cash with no percent return beat the heck out of the stock market.

Go back to 2000 and remember that the NASDAQ lost 78% of it value in 3 years. If you had been in cash from 2000 to 2003 you would have saved about 40% to 60% of your retirement account. The Buy N Holders have still not recovered their investments.

Selling out near (I did not say at) the top, say within about 10 or 15%, the account would have remained pretty darn healthy. Many investors lost 30 to 40% or more of their hard-earned money and they would have been able to buy back many more shares when the market resumed its upward journey. That is what I refer to as a reverse profit. The profit is what was not lost by listening to the Buy N Hold brokers and financial planners.

There are hundreds of thousands of investors who have learned not to allow their portfolios to depreciate more than 10 to 15% because they have learned to sell when their equities start to go down. They sell and reinvest in a better stock or fund or sometimes just leave it in cash if there is not a good equity to buy. The winning principle of the stock market is having an exit strategy that will prevent losing money.

There are times when having cash at zero percent return will beat a negative 45% in the overall market. What you dont lose is called a reverse profit.

Copyright 2006 All rights reserved.

Author Bio:

Al Thomas

Albert W. Thomas has spent most of his life in the field of finance. In 1965 he founded an insurance holding company, Security Dynamics Investment Corporation, after having been an agent and General Agent for several life insurance companies. In 1970 he became cofounder and president of Real Life Estate, Inc., that marketed a unique real estate and life insurance package.

After he became interested in commodities he bought a seat for his personal trading on the Chicago Open Board of Trade, which is now known as the MidAmerica Commodity Exchange. Later he became a full time trader and also acted as a commodity broker for a few select clients. By fellow floor traders Al is considered to be an excellent technical analyst much of which is outlined in his book IF IT DOESN'T GO UP, DON'T BUY IT! It became a best seller on Amazon.

In 1981 he sold his membership on the Exchange and with his wife, Carolyn, lived full time aboard their 41' ketch, the Aumakua (which means guardian angel in Hawaiian). They sailed in Florida and the Bahamas for two years.

He founded World Trading Group in 1984 that grew to the seventh largest introducing commodity brokerage firm in the U.S. with 35 offices from coast to coast, Alaska and Canada. It was sold in 1992.

Al is a graduate of Northwestern University with a B.S. degree in Commerce and is a member of MENSA. He is now president of Williamsburg Investment Company that syndicates his weekly financial column since 1999 to more than 300 newspapers and writes a financial market letter called Over My Shoulder that is quoted in Barron?s and many other publications. A 3-month trial subscription is available on his web site. He is a regular guest on several financial radio talk shows.

His favorite pastime is fishing.

Mr. Thomas is available for speaking engagements. Please call 321-453-5300 for more information.

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